predictopoly

today 0

deck: edition picks · 84 questions

Real Polymarket questions that already resolved. Predict the probability of YES, reveal the outcome, earn points based on calibration plus a bonus if you beat the market.

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your probability that YES

50%

0% No 50% 100% Yes

resolved

You scored higher than of players on this question.

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Stats

predicted 0

lifetime points 0

avg / question -

For nerds: Brier, log, market

avg brier-

avg log-

vs market-

Reliability

Each dot is a probability bucket (e.g. all your 60-70% calls). Closer to the dashed line = better calibrated.

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Inspired by Sage (and their Quantified Intuitions). Your predictions stay in this browser. No accounts, no tracking. - ac